It can’t be denied that
Canadian debt levels continue to skyrocket. Just about every news outlet from
the CBC to Global has reported on this trend. Economists and even the Prime
Minister has chimed.
Take a look at the infographic
below produced by Equifax, according to an article released by Global News last, consumer debt is up in
every single province: year http://globalnews.ca/news/1544506/infographic-debt-levels-jump-sharply-east-of-ontario/. With the exception
of Manitoba and Quebec, all provinces are seeing an average over $20,000.00.
The CBC released an article
earlier this past summer that suggests that Canadians are continuing to rack up
their household debt. The article looks at household debt which includes
mortgages, lines of credit and credit card debt vs. consumer debt which is
highlighted in the above infographic. The article sites a BMO annual debt
report that resulted in the average debt of those surveyed as sitting at a
staggering $92,699 which is $4,000 higher than the previous 4 year average: http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canadian-households-are-racking-up-more-debt-poll-suggests-1.3146766.
What does this skyrocketing
household debt mean to FIs across Canada? This in itself is a very complicated
question with many variables that include performance in the capital markets
(oil), interest rates, job growth, performance of the dollar and much, much
more.
Economists from both BMO and
RBC this last quarter called for rate cuts from the Bank of Canada citing signs
of a faltering recovery http://www.bnn.ca/News/2015/7/8/Bank-of-Montreal-and-RBC-join-Bank-of-Canada-rate-cut-call.aspx.
This occurred while an economist at TDCT went as far
as to proclaim that Canada is in recession territory.
The top TD economist wasn’t
alone in his sentiment according to this article in the BNN: http://www.bnn.ca/News/2015/7/6/TD-Bank-flip-flopped-on-Canadas-economic-outlook-over-the-weekeend.aspx. Apparently Bank of America Merrill Lynch has said
Canada ‘appears’ to have slumped into a recession. According to the article,
CIBC called it “a real possibility.”
Add to this the fact that,
while economists have mixed emotions on the state of the economy and Canadians
are carrying more debt than ever, this past summer the Huffington Post also reported that, according to Stats Canada,
while the economy grew – incomes stagnated: http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/07/08/canadian-income-survey-2013_n_7754884.html. The report noted “The median after-tax income of Canadian households was
$53,500 in 2013, up by just $100 from 2012, according to StatsCan’s Canadian IncomeSurvey.”
Interest rates continue to be a
hot topic when it comes to lending - and continuous changes mean constantly
having to stay on top with current trends. Purview For Lenders can help - visit
lenders.purview.ca today.
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